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Volume 7 Article List
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January 1989
Technical Index Measure Market Breadth
Advance-decline, high-low and volume combine to create a new market yardstick. By William Mason; pages 9-12.
Into the Pit
Steel those nervesrelive one trader's first day on the floor. By Joseph Wilson; pages 13-15.
Logarithmic Point and Figure Charts
How logarithmic charts beat their arithmetic counterparts in detecting price formations. By Luis Ballesca Loyo; pages 16-20.
Stock Hedge Portfolios: A Strategy For All Seasons
How to balance long and short stock for a 29%-40% annual return. By Larry Christy; pages 21-25.
The Wall Street Week Index
Dissect the innards of the most accurate of 40 stock market indicators. By Arthur A. Merrill; pages 26-27.
Options: Let Price Come to You
Why chasing price most often takes money out of your pocket. By Jerry Kopf; pages 28-29.
Completing the DMI Rules
Complete Wilder's DMI rules and test the accuracy of this system. By Jim Summers; pages 30-34.
February 1989
Short Interest
How odd lot short sales indicate stock market turning points. By Arthur A. Merrill; page 37.
Comparing Wave Predictions
A graphic look at where the two camps of Elliotticians would send the Dow Jones Industrial Average. By Jack K. Hutson; page 39.
Creating Prices for System Testing
Build price data streams to test your trading systems. By D. Howard Phillips; pages 40-42.
An Elliott Wave Perspective: DJIA 400 or 6000?
Elliott's Rule of Equality demands a recount of the Supercycle's fifth wave. By Elliot Brenner; pages 43-46.
Opening Range Breakout, Part 4
Test results show how well inside days predict the next day's trading opportunities. By Toby Crabel; pages 47-49.
Trading and Scalping Techniques
The founder of Commodity Research Institute lays out time-tested techniques for off-floor traders. By John Hill; pages 50-55.
Winning Parameters for Customized MACD
Delve into a strategy that issues buy/sell signals for a number of common stocks. By John A. Narvarte; pages 53-55.
Individual Stocks and MACD
A variation of Moving Average Convergence-Divergence selects daily and weekly turning points. By Thomas Aspray; pages 56-61.
Product review: N-Squared Analytic Software
Some formula generators just don't get the respect they deserveand this one deserves it. By John Sweeney; pages 62-66.
March 1989
Tactical Stock Trading
A numerical series that solves random walk to beat the markets. By Peter Eliason; pages 69-72.
Analyzing Indicators with the Cells Method
How well will your technical indicator predict the markets? Test it with the cells method. By David Aronson; pages 73-75.
Volume-Weighted RSI: Money Flow
A new indicator charts entry/exit points on the strength of money entering and leaving the market. By Gene Quong and Avrum Soudack; pages 76-77.
Point and Figure Charts: An Overview
Work step-by-step through a time-honored charting method that has not lost its touch. By Charles Idol; pages 78-81.
Variable Sensitivity Stochastics
Evaluate any index or data set for turning points over a range of sensitivities. By William Mason; pages 82-85.
Moving Averages and Smoothing Filters
Simple vs. complex formulas which gives you the most effective results? By John Ehlers; pages 87-90.
Velocity of the S&P 500
Are popular trading strategies destabilizing the stock market? By Robert A. Wood; pages 91-95.
Testing Breakout Systems
A core strategy to keep you on the right side of the market. By Steve Notis; pages 96-99.
Member Trading
Easy-to-access stock market statistics show whether the "smart money" is accumulating or distributing. By Arthur A. Merrill; page 100.
APRIL 1989
Member and Public Short Selling
Who's moving the stock market? Short sales clue you in to where the power is stored. By Arthur Merrill; pages 103-105.
Point and Figure : Analysis and Projection, Part 2
Fundamental P&F patterns show you how to forecast price moves and profit potential. By Charles Idol; pages 106-108.
Master Oscillator
Create a customized oscillator from you collection of favorites. By William Mason; pages 109-111.
A Simple Cycle Finder
No computer handy? Yes, you can forecast highs and lows with just a pen and paper. By Curtis McKallip Jr; pages 112-114.
Hines Ratio
Use option activity to measure investor sentiment for daily or weekly stock trading. By Ray Hines; pages 115-118.
Opening Range Breakout, Part 5
Test how profitability increases when you trade the ORB after an NR4 pattern. By Toby Crabel; pages 119-120.
Understanding Market Profile, Part 6
Tests reveal when range extensions and profitable intraday trading are most likely. By Thomas P. Drinka and Stephen M. Ptasienski; pages 121-123.
Alpha-Beta Trend Following System, Version II
Finetune trading filters and trend channels with this enhanced QuickBASIC program. By Anthony W. Warren Ph.D; pages 124-128.
Discipline in Trading
Take inventory of your behavior and turn around habits that get in your way. By James Covington Bryce; page 131.
Cyclic Personalities
Under careful analysis, cyclic commodities reveal their true natures. By John Ehlers. Pages 132-134.
May 1989
A New Cycle Analysis Trading Technique
Day trade commodities with cycles that predict tomorrow's market direction. By Russell L. Miller; pages 137-139.
Public/Member Short Selling
Three short sales ratios say bullish is in for 1989. By Arthur Merrill; pages 140-142.
Time, Price and Pattern
Elliott, Gann and Fibonacci create a three-dimensional trading plan for less risky profits. By Robert Miner; pages 143-146.
An Advance/Decline Line for Commodities
Apply the stock market's traditional breadth indicator to commodities to forecast tops and bottoms. By Thom Hartle; pages 147-149.
Traditional Chart Analysis: A Neglected Tool?
Learn how to trade two classic chart patterns as they unfold in real-time. By Thomas Aspray; pages 150-153.
Averaging Systems
Value vs. dollar averaging which strategy wins out? By Charles Idol; pages 154-156.
Product review: DollarLink
Step inside a real-time analysis/reviewer says is tops. By Rich Rosen; pages 157-158.
Product review: Market Forecaster
Check out econometrics on disk for stock and mutual fund traders. By Mark Hallinan; pages 159-160.
Opening Range Breakout, Part 6
Two chart patterns probe better than one when it comes to pinpointing trending prices. By Toby Crabel; pages 161-163.
June 1989
Large Block Transactions
Calculate this indicator and discover how much enthusiasm the big operators have for stocks. By Arthur Merrill; pages 165-167.
The Secret of Trading Success: Commitment
Follow a three-step process to determine if you really want to succeed in the markets. By Van K. Tharp; pages 168-170.
Daily Stock Tendencies
Yes, there is quantifiable evidence for Monday trading blues and mid-week euphoria. By L.R. James; pages 171-173.
U.S. Treasury Auctions and Technical Analysis
Three methods to overcome the data gap in new debit issues. By Gerald S. Celaya. 174-176.
Speeding Up the Oscillator
Feeling bogged down, waiting for your moving averages to cross? Here's a way to jazz up their response time. By Grady Garrett; pages 177-179.
Windows of Opportunity
Point and figure charts for commodities? Yes! Add Gann angles and day trading software to catch the most opportune signals.
By Douglas Arend; pages 180-184.
Simple Moving Average Crossover
A new systems section tests results of the oldest trading tools. By Peter Aan; pages 185-187.
Opening Range Breakout, Part 7
Make downside profits when the bear hook pattern growls from you commodity charts. By Toby Crabel; pages 188-189.
Review: Epoch
Use John Ehlers' trading system to find and exploit market cycles. By John Sweeney; pages 190-193.
Riding the Beast
A novice speculator finds that CDs don't have the same kick after riding a commodity roller coaster. By Jean Dilling; pages 194-198.
July 1989
Price Projections on Point and Figure Charts
Use this complete set of equations to project prices on arithmetic and logarithmic charts. By Luis Ballesca Loyo; pages 201-202.
Locating Value with Auction Market Data
A new definition of value alerts traders to market changes. By Donald L. Jones; pages 203-208.
Opening Range Breakout, Part 8
Be ready for an uptrend when the bull hook price pattern appears. By Toby Crabel; pages 209-210.
Watch the Fed!
Two Federal Reserve Board statistics give ominous signals for the 1989 stock market. By Arthur Merrill; pages 211-213.
Regressions in Hard Commodities
Uncover some of the driving forces behind precious metals' price variances. By L.R. James; pages 214-216.
Product Review: System Writer Plus
When it comes to testing trading system quickly, this piece of software is an indispensable tool. By Jim Summers, Ph.D; pages 217-219.
Phase Shifts
The 40.68-month cycle may have shifted. Here's how to tell. By Gary Zin; pages 220-223.
Volatility Analysis and Simulation Used in Tactical Trading
Volatility determines what's hot and what's not; simulation pinpoints profitable point spreads. By Peter Eliason; pages 224-226.
What K-Wave?
The Kondratieff wave; economic phenomenon or statistical fiction? By Jeff Walker; pages 227-239.
Volatility System
Is Wilder's Volatility System for you? Check out the test results. By Peter Aan; pages 230-232.
Options Shooters vs. Spreaders
Generate regular profits like the pros by combining the best of both worlds opinion and math. By Jerry Kopf; pages 233-234.
Product Review: Technician 5.0
A top-notch charting program complete with data service. By Steve Notis; pages 235-236.
August 1989
A More Conservative Estimate of Risk
Mean or standard deviation? Is one a better measure of risk? By Clifford J. Sherry, Ph.D; pages 239-240.
Tradeable Price Patterns
Use your computer power to determine when commodities have more than a 50-50 chance of moving profitably. By Kent Calhoun; pages 241.
Relative Strength Index
Tests reveal how RSI fares as an indicator of trend vs. overbought/oversold. By Peter Aan. 243-245.
Financial Volume Index
Ease your selection of financials with an index that shows divergence. By Patrick Cifaldi; pages 246-248.
Using MMI to Trade OEX
Catch short-term bounces in options with this new futures indicator. By Dan Downing; pages 249-250.
Most Active Stocks
Daily newspaper data tunes into the speculative tone of the market. By Arthur Merrill; pages 251-253.
Trading Commodity Spreads Mechanically
If a mechanical rule could be developed for spread trading, it could lead to a low-risk portfolio of spreads that provides a superior alternative to a portfolio of out-right futures positions. This author tests some rules and finds that rigid rules prove unprofitable. By Louis Lukac and B. Wade Brorsen; pages 254-258.
Daily Stock Technician
An author finds that the Investor's Daily is all you need to be a daily technician. This article shows you step-by-step how to look at charts. By Thomas K. Lloyd; pages 259-262.
Point and Figure Analysis and Projection
Work step-by-step through the short- and long-term charts of two stock picks. By Charles Idol; pages 263-266.
Fibonacci Profit Objectives
Three simple equations uncover logical profit targets. By Joe DiNapoli; pages 267- 268.
Product review: Accounting Software
Review five top-of-the-line systems to manage your accounts. By Mike Takano; pages 269-272.
A Thing of Duty
Duty or passion? In either direction there is poetry in work. By Sara Nuss-Galles; page 273.
September 1989
Trading T-bonds with Equivolume
Quickly decipher market contraction/expansion with this clean, 2-dimensional charting method. By Thom Hartle; pages 275-277.
Ratio Accumulators
Pinpoint and work out the biases in ratio indicators. By William Mason; pages 278-281.
Demand Oscillator Momentum
Offset the Demand Oscillator's lag on the sell side with two momentums. By Thomas Aspray; pages 282-285.
Scale-down Buying and Scale-up Selling
Get tactical with options: average your buys and sells, and don't forget the stop. By Jerry Kopf; page 286-287.
Price Pattern Studies
Open-to-close price patterns reveal workable beginnings for trading system research. By Toby Crabel; pages 288-291.
Mutual Fund Point & Figure
Do funds exhibit classic P&F patterns? Take a test drive. By Charles Idol; pages 292-294.
Channel Breakout
The channel breakout system embodies a refined version of Richard Donchian's "weekly rule" system formulated many years ago. If intraday stops are used to reverse positions, this system has the advantage of being able to participate in every well-defined major market move. By Peter Aan; pages 295-297.
The McClellan Oscillator
This short-to-intermediate leading indicator picks tops and bottoms and forecasts a market peak. By Richard Mogey; pages 298-300.
Volume Indices
Smooth the ARMS Index, modify it or use just a piece of it to call the stock market bearish or bullish. By Arthur Merrill; pages 301-303.
Computer Spread Analysis
Integrate spreadsheets, charting programs and data services to calculate spreads. By Jim Summers; pages 304-306.
Leading Indicators with Momentum
Customize indicators by tweaking momentum and filtering noise through moving averages. By John Ehlers; pages 307-309.
Product Review: Master Chartist
Pop-up windows and a mouse make sophisticated real-time analysis fast and convenient. By Steve Notis; pages 310-314.
Product Review: CompuTrac Makes Technical Analysis a SNAP!
A new module puts CompuTrac head to head with the best of TA software. By Toby Crabel; pages 315-320.
October 1989
Do Funds Distort Price Movements?
Are technically oriented managers using their clout to move markets? By Wade Brorsen and Scott H. Irwin; pages 323-325.
A Better way to Smooth Data
Moving averages are great, but numeric filters show clearer trends and fewer false signals. By J.S. Payne, Ph.D; pages 326-330.
Christmas Tree Spread
How to work both the long and short sides of options. By Jerry Kopf; pages 331-332.
Constructing an Efficient Short-term Timing Model
Forecast change in trend with two well-known ratios. By Marcus Robinson; pages 333-335.
The Best Trading Indicator the Media
Does the 5th estate have a 6th sense? Consider how well the financial press performs as a market barometer. By Grant Noble; pages 336-339.
Speculative Indicators
Monitor the two most volatile stock exchanges for warning sings. By Arthur Merrill; pages 340-342.
Finding Patterns in Random Data
An author tests for statistical significance of historical patterns and whether they are different from patterns observed in random data, and finds that, often, they are not. By Nelson Weiderman, Ph.D; pages 342-345.
Key Reversal Days
An author looks at three reversal patterns that have two things in common: a high that's higher than the previous days high and a close that's below yesterday's close. The conclusion? Find another method of detecting market tops and bottoms. By Peter Aan; pages 347-349.
Product Review: Market Timing System
Unverifiable data raises questions about undisclosed system. By Vicki Parker Lee; pages 350-354.
Are You Piloting Your Trading with Safety?
Lessons from flight training keep this commodities broker flying high. By Ana Maria Wilson; pages 355-356.
Product Review: The DownLoader 2.0
Don't let compatibility problems bog you down in data drudgery. By Steve Notis; pages 357-358.
Programming for a Global Perspective
Analyze U.S. contracts in foreign currency rates and indices. By Charles Milmoe; pages 359-361.
Developing and Using Pattern Recognition
Retracements, trading ranges and breakouts yield consistently profitable stock market patterns. By Tom Johnson and Market Boucher; pages 362-364.
Market Facilitation Index
The Market Facilitation Index is an objective means of measuring facilitation of trade, or how well the market is working. Use this indicator to obtain a realistic profile of the market at any given time. By Charles F. Wright; pages 365-268.
Product Review: Option Evaluator
A basic package that's easy to use. By Hans Hannula; pages 369-371.
Trading Close-to-Close Patterns
Closing price sequences hold a key to next day price direction. By Toby Crabel; pages 372-374; pages 372-374.
Bi Signal Indicator
By Joseph Barics; pages 375-377.
Product Review: Livewire
Download stock data from your TV, with no monthly charges. By Jim Rader; pages 378-379.
November 1989
Interview
Shelly Natenberg: Trader and Teacher
Teaching technical theory isn't complete until this floor trader's pupils understand not only what a trading model can, but what it can't accomplish. By John Sweeney; pages 381-384.
Overbought and Oversold Indicator
A simple short-term oscillator identifies the market's current potential for higher or lower prices. By Thom Hartle; pages 385-386.
Inside Day Patterns in the S&P
Inside day chart formations give a strong clue to the market's next-day direction. By Toby Crabel; pages 387-390.
Chaos Theory and Market Behavior
Order masquerading as disorder a sweeping revolution in the sciences is bringing to light the patterns underlying random behavior. By Bernd Anders; pages 391-395.
Fundamentals Behind Technical Analysis
Yes, the dynamics of supply, demand, equilibrium and elasticity taught in ECON 101 do drive market patterns. By Curtis McKallip; pages 396-399.
Neural Networks: A Trading Perspective
A step beyond artificial intelligence, neural networks promise a new way to forecast the future by learning from the past. By Carol H. Halquist and George F. Schmoll, II; pages 400-404.
Trading Windows for Technical Indicators
Discern the randomness of time periods to make your technical tools more productive. By Frank Tarkany; pages 405-410.
Setting Stops A New Approach
Unfortunately, picking entry points typically gets more attention than picking exiting points, when, actually, skillfully selected exit points can make the difference between a profit and a loss. By John Ehlers; pages 408-410.
Parabolic Stop/Reversal
Testing bears out that accolades are due this trailing stop system. By Peter Aan; pages 411-413.
Market Letter Sentiment
Research shows it pays to listen to what the advisors are saying then do the opposite. By Arthur Merrill; pages 414-415.
Revamping Mediocre Buy-Write Strategies
Buy-writes are fine for sideways markets but put-writes participate in trending markets. By Jerry Kopf; pages 416-417.
Optimal Parameter Selection
A new testing method identifies system parameters that hang on to profits as the market shifts. By Kent Calhoun; pages 418-421.
December 1989
Interview: Wizards Minds Over Markets
An interview with Jack Schwager on what makes the most successful traders tick. By Van K. Tharp; pages 423-427.
Tactical Stock Trading
How to use tactical stock trading to save profits on a downtrend without dampening out the uptrend ride. By Hugh Logan; pages 428-430.
Weekly High/Low Moving Average
A seldom-used average that profits from every well-defined trend. By Peter Aan; pages 431-432.
Do Stock Prices Reflect Fibonacci Ratios?
Does the Golden Ratio really show up in stock market data or is it all wishful thinking? By Herbert H.J. Riedel; pages 433-436.
Product Review: ELLI-VOL II
A volume-driven method for timing the market. By James S. Gould, Ph.D; page 437.
Trading Options Volatility
Rather than focus on market direction, use hedging strategies that work off volatility. By Andrew J. Sterge; pages 438-441.
Product Review: Arms Equivolume Charting System
A one-of-a-kind charting program with unique indicators. By James S. Gould, Ph.D; pages 442-444.
Beat the Market with No-load Mutual Funds
Systematically build a portfolio of stock funds that beats the market with a minimum of turnover. By Gary Zin, Ph.D; page 445-448.
Gann Analysis on Point and Figure Charts
Simple-to-draw Gann Lines enhance P&F's ability to track large moves and impending reversals. By Douglas Arend; page 449-452.
Volume Percentage Ratio
Anticipate cycle tops and bottoms with a set of volume indicators. By Mike Burk; page 453-455.
What Volume Is It?
The creator of Equivolume charting introduces his basic concepts and a new indicator. By Richard W. Arms, Jr; page 456-457.
How to Evaluate a Commodity Trading System
Which calculation tells you whether a system will send you into bliss or give you a nervous breakdown? PTMED. Read on! By Kent Calhoun; pages 458-459.
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